Economy

Residential Building Permits Fall as Recession Risk Climbs to 40%, Economist Says

By Charles Grand / April 16, 2026 /

The economy is still growing, but the margin for error is shrinking fast. That’s according to Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi, who said his latest modeling puts the chance of a recession over the next year at about 40%, well above the typical baseline. “I expect in the most likely baseline scenario going forward…

Kelly Perkins: We’re Headed for an ‘Innovation Super Cycle’ Reshaping America

By CandysDirt.com Contributor / November 6, 2025 /

By Kelly PerkinsSpecial Contributor, Novēm Wealth We’re hurtling through an unprecedented era: the Innovation Super Cycle. Picture a torrent of breakthroughs — AI reshaping everything from drug discovery to daily commutes, quantum computing tackling previously unsolvable problems, and biotech extending healthy lifespans. This isn’t hype. It’s a seismic shift akin to the Industrial Revolution, turbocharged by…

Kelly Perkins: The Government Shutdown, Our Lives Haven’t

By CandysDirt.com Contributor / October 29, 2025 /

By Kelly PerkinsSpecial Contributor, Novēm Wealth As the federal government shutdown stretches beyond a month, the human cost is real: thousands of essential workers furloughed; families strained without paychecks, all amid partisan gridlock. This isn’t working for the country. Americans work to support our families, entrepreneurs tighten budgets to succeed and grow. Message to Washington: Cease…

Kelly Perkins: Sorry Folks, the Government’s Closed… and It’s a Nothing Burger

By CandysDirt.com Contributor / October 14, 2025 /

By Kelly PerkinsSpecial Contributor, Novēm Wealth So we have a government shutdown. While there is a lot of finger-pointing and angry rhetoric, it’s really not much to be worried about. The markets are not reflecting any concerns. Historically, markets don’t react to government shutdowns and, in fact, typically do quite well after they are resolved. Our…

Kelly Perkins: Are Fed Rate Cuts Really the Homebuying Game-Changer You Expect?

By CandysDirt.com Contributor / October 1, 2025 /

With 33 years in the financial industry, Novēm Wealth’s Kelly Perkins has seen the booms and busts of the Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market and beyond. As co-founder and partner at the Dallas-based firm, she is a qualified advisor, industry leader, and sought-after public speaker — and she’s brought her expertise to CandysDirt.com for a…